What history says about the host's chances in Africa Cup of Nations opening matches

The most chaotic opening match came at Angola 2010 as Mali came from 4-0 down in the final 11 minutes to draw 4-4.
The most chaotic opening match came at Angola 2010 as Mali came from 4-0 down in the final 11 minutes to draw 4-4.JOE KLAMAR / AFP

All but one of the 34 previous opening matches of the Africa Cup of Nations finals have featured the host nation … and past results are heavily weighted in their favour.

As Morocco get ready to take on Comoros in their opening Group A match in Rabat on Sunday, they will be full of confidence they can get a win with their star-studded squad, and history suggests they will.

While the host nation has lost the Cup of Nations opener on a few occasions, there have been three times as many home wins as away victories.

There have been a total of 18 wins by the host nation and five away victors, with nine opening matches ending in draws. One tournament opener was not played between the hosts.

Those draws include a turgid, nerve-filled encounter in 2013 when South Africa were held to a goalless draw by Cape Verde at Soccer City.

The five away victories include Egypt in the very first tournament in 1957, when just three countries participated. It was almost three decades later before another shock away win, which came in Cairo in 1986 when Senegal beat hosts Egypt 1–0.

The Pharaohs, however, went on to win the trophy, edging Cameroon on penalties in the final.

Nigeria beat hosts Senegal 2–1 in the 1992 opener, and two years later Mali stunned Tunisia, effectively scuppering home hopes and leaving a tournament where the absence of home support was so pronounced that Tunisian authorities reportedly bused in soldiers to fill the stands.

Burkina Faso were the last hosts to lose their opening game, going down to Cameroon in 1998, although they exceeded expectations by reaching the semi-finals.

Algeria hold the record for the most convincing opening-day triumph when they thrashed Nigeria 5–1 in 1990. The two sides met again in the final, with Algeria edging the Super Eagles by a single goal.

Tunisia beat Ethiopia 4–0 in 1965, while the Ivory Coast, when last hosts 40 years ago, opened their campaign with a 3–0 win over Togo.

South Africa began the road to their 1996 triumph with a 3–0 victory over Cameroon’s Indomitable Lions.

The most dramatic opening game came in 2010, when Angola led Mali 4–0 with 11 minutes remaining, only for Stephen Keshi’s side to storm back and score four times to draw 4–4.

The only edition in which the host nation did not play the opening match was in 1970, when Cameroon and the Ivory Coast kicked off the eight-team tournament in Sudan, followed immediately by the hosts beating neighbours Ethiopia in the second game of the opening double-header.

All AFCON opening matches

1957: Sudan 1–2 Egypt

1959: Egypt 4–0 Ethiopia

1962: Ethiopia 4–2 Tunisia

1963: Ghana 1–1 Tunisia

1965: Tunisia 4–0 Ethiopia

1968: Ethiopia 2–1 Uganda

1970: Cameroon 3–2 Côte d’Ivoire*

1972: Cameroon 2–1 Kenya

1974: Egypt 2–1 Uganda

1976: Ethiopia 2–0 Uganda

1978: Ghana 2–1 Zambia

1980: Nigeria 3–1 Tanzania

1982: Libya 2–2 Ghana

1984: Côte d’Ivoire 3–0 Togo

1986: Egypt 0–1 Senegal

1988: Morocco 1–1 Zaire

1990: Algeria 5–1 Nigeria

1992: Senegal 1–2 Nigeria

1994: Tunisia 0–2 Mali

1996: South Africa 3–0 Cameroon

1998: Burkina Faso 0–1 Cameroon

2000: Ghana 1–1 Cameroon

2002: Mali 1–1 Liberia

2004: Tunisia 2–1 Rwanda

2006: Egypt 3–0 Libya

2008: Ghana 2–1 Guinea

2010: Angola 4–4 Mali

2012: Equatorial Guinea 1–0 Libya

2013: South Africa 0–0 Cape Verde Islands

2015: Equatorial Guinea 1–1 Congo

2017: Gabon 1–1 Guinea-Bissau

2019: Egypt 1–0 Zimbabwe

2021: Cameroon 2–1 Burkina Faso

2023: Ivory Coast 2–0 Guinea

* Sudan were the hosts of this tournament